Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.179073 0.194108 0.210028 0.228178 0.248340 0.270100 0.295429
2026-01-11 0.152983 0.174355 0.198464 0.227837 0.262878 0.303616 0.354964
2026-01-18 0.133875 0.157984 0.186415 0.222750 0.268433 0.324613 0.399945
2026-01-25 0.119202 0.144442 0.175240 0.216095 0.269647 0.338571 0.435856
2026-02-01 0.108750 0.134719 0.167324 0.211972 0.272643 0.353914 0.474022
2026-02-08 0.099764 0.125900 0.159520 0.206824 0.273143 0.365157 0.506846
2026-02-15 0.092742 0.118992 0.153495 0.203252 0.275032 0.377923 0.542618
2026-02-22 0.088852 0.115890 0.152210 0.205900 0.285650 0.403879 0.600978
2026-03-01 0.084181 0.111351 0.148532 0.204688 0.290257 0.420952 0.646941
2026-03-08 0.079519 0.106496 0.144026 0.201809 0.291906 0.433311 0.686214
2026-03-15 0.074868 0.101367 0.138771 0.197350 0.290590 0.440572 0.717246
2026-03-22 0.073098 0.100245 0.139226 0.201523 0.303160 0.471585 0.794294
2026-03-29 0.070746 0.098227 0.138349 0.203753 0.313091 0.499742 0.871384
2026-04-05 0.068021 0.095519 0.136283 0.203963 0.319712 0.522923 0.942710
2026-04-12 0.064421 0.091297 0.131634 0.199617 0.318083 0.530969 0.984593
2026-04-19 0.060778 0.086824 0.126342 0.193827 0.313392 0.532770 1.013492
2026-04-26 0.057906 0.083402 0.122517 0.190232 0.312288 0.541174 1.057827
2026-05-03 0.055050 0.079870 0.118332 0.185736 0.309147 0.545226 1.092917
2026-05-10 0.052680 0.076999 0.115066 0.182614 0.308280 0.553653 1.139371
2026-05-17 0.051570 0.076073 0.114916 0.184929 0.317841 0.584249 1.244054
2026-05-24 0.049869 0.074118 0.112957 0.183870 0.320763 0.601215 1.317810
2026-05-31 0.047998 0.071808 0.110290 0.181353 0.320588 0.611466 1.375952
2026-06-07 0.045986 0.069187 0.106978 0.177451 0.317323 0.614566 1.415470